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| library(tidyverse) | |
| library(bayestestR) | |
| library(bayesAB) | |
| # See Manifesto Functions at www.themetricsmanifesto.com | |
| # Put in your same working director | |
| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| bayesPhishArrive <- function(prior_vals = c(5,1), total_vals = c(87,12)){ |
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| # Package names | |
| packages <- c("readr", "tidyverse", "lubridate", "survival", "survminer", "shiny", "shinydashboard","reactable","shinyalert") | |
| # Install packages not yet installed | |
| installed_packages <- packages %in% rownames(installed.packages()) | |
| if (any(installed_packages == FALSE)) { | |
| install.packages(packages[!installed_packages]) | |
| } |
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| source("helper_functions.R") | |
| #30MB File Upload | |
| options(shiny.maxRequestSize = 30*1024^2) | |
| ui <- dashboardPage( | |
| title="Vuln Burndown", | |
| dashboardHeader(title = "Vulnerability Burndown"), |
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| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| ################ | |
| ### Introduction | |
| patches <- 0:20 | |
| average <- 23/4 | |
| plot(p, dpois(patches, average), type="h", lwd=3, | |
| ylab="Probability Of Emergency Patch", | |
| xlab="Count Of Emergency Patches") |
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| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| ### OPTIONAL A/B Case Study | |
| ### Code Slide #1 | |
| # Declare list to hold configurations | |
| base_configs <- list() | |
| # Amount of simulation | |
| base_configs["n_draws"] <- 100000 |
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| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| ######################### | |
| ### Beta-Binomial Example | |
| # Make grid of 10K sequential possibilities between 0 to 1 | |
| plausible_rates <- data.frame( | |
| possible_grid = seq(from = 0, to = 1, length = 10000)) | |
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| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| ###################### | |
| ### Naive Escape Rates | |
| MakeBetaGraph(10, 100, xlab = "Rate", ylab = "Strength", | |
| tlab = "January Escape Rates", | |
| slab = "Mean and Highest Density Interval", xadj = .001) |
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| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| ########################### | |
| ### Non-Bayesian Wait Times | |
| # Number of product teams | |
| group_count = 10 | |
| # Empty Data Frame to hold results | |
| dt <- tibble() |
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| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| ############################################## | |
| ### Introduction: Random Bombs and Horse Kicks | |
| # Bomb Narrative | |
| bombs <- tibble(hits = c(0,1,2,3,4,5), | |
| frequency = c(229, 211, 93, 35, 7, 1), | |
| ratio = frequency/sum(frequency)) | |
| bombs |
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| source("manifesto_functions.R") | |
| ################## | |
| ### Get Small Data | |
| #Engineer One and Two Remediation Rate Beliefs | |
| eng_one <- c(4,7) #Median and 90% Stretch | |
| eng_two <- c(2,4) |
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